I suppose it is a little early in the season to put a lot of weight in Sagarin. But if I calculated it correctly.....
NDSU predictor = 68.79 Ill. St. predictor = 49.21 home team gets 3 pts so Bison by 22.58?
Obviously missing Heagle and Eaves changes things.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm