Sagarin says

23 North Dakota State...AA = 82.24 13 0 56.88( 138) 0 0 | 1 0 | 83.00 21 | 81.30 24 | 80.98 26
61 Towson...................AA = 71.88 12 2 56.07( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.50 53 | 70.14 66 | 78.17 35
74 Eastern Washington..AA = 66.19 12 2 54.34( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.06 79 | 66.11 77 | 67.37 79
75 New Hampshire........AA = 66.13 10 4 56.96( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.54 77 | 65.53 79 | 65.06 85

Sag got the new numbers up yet tonight. Bison crack the top-25 again in predictor. Predicting an almost 20pt win vs. UNH. EWU/Towson is a tossup.

Sagarin's Playoffs Round 4 Predictions

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                              Sagarin          Predict    Result        Diff 
 24        North Dakota State        81.30                                       
 26        Kansas State                80.88          -3.02      3.00          6.02               
 NA        Ferris State                  NA              NA      46.00            NA               
225        Delaware State                34.65          50.09      51.00          0.91               
 93        South Dakota State        63.08          14.78      20.00          5.22               
 87        Northern Iowa                63.87          20.87      1.00        -19.87               
101        Missouri State                61.97          22.77      15.00        -7.77               
 98        Southern Illinois        62.33          15.53      21.00          5.47               
200        Indiana State                39.63          38.23      46.00          7.77               
123        Illinois State                57.61          27.13      18.00        -9.13               
116        Youngstown State        59.23          18.63      18.00        -0.63               
166        South Dakota                48.24          36.50      42.00          5.50               
                                                       
151        Furman                        52.59          32.15      31.00          1.15               
104        Coastal Carolina        61.29          23.45      34.00        10.55               
 66        New Hampshire                65.53          19.21                               
                                                       
160        Western Illinois        50.56                                       
                                                Total Diff:          5.19
        Home                        3.44

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Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

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1  24  North Dakota State
 2  37  Eastern Illinois
 3  66  Towson
 4  74  Villanova
 5  76  SE Louisiana
 6  77  Eastern Washington
 7  79  New Hampshire
 8  85  William & Mary
 9  87  Northern Iowa
10  91  Jacksonville State
11  93  South Dakota State
12  98  Southern Illinois
13  99  Montana
14  101  Missouri State
15  102  Sam Houston State
16  104  Coastal Carolina
17  110  Harvard
18  112  Princeton
19  114  Liberty
20  116  Youngstown State
21  118  Maine
22  119  Cal Poly
23  122  Tennessee State
24  123  Illinois State
25  124  McNeese State

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Sagarin Predictor Top-7 FCS Conferences

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1.  MVFC        59.06
2.  Colonial        57.39
3.  Ohio Valley 53.22
4.  Southland        51.09
5.  Ivy League        49.07
6.  Southern        48.34
7.  Big Sky        47.13

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Sagarin only hit 50% this round, however 75% were within 14 points of the prediction


Round 3 results

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1 NDSU/Coastal                        4 SELA/UNH
Sagarin: NDSU by 22                Sagarin: SELA by 7
Actual: NDSU by 34                Actual: UNH by 3
                               
2 EIU/7 Towson                        3 EWU/Jax St
Sagarin: EIU by 16                Sagarin: EWU by 5
Actual: Towson by 10                Actual: EWU by 11

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Round 4 predictions

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1 NDSU                81.30  (19.21)
  UNH                65.53
               
3 EWU                66.11 
7 Towson        70.14  (0.59)

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Lol@BigFluffySky

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Hammersmith

Sag got the new numbers up yet tonight. Bison crack the top-25 again in predictor. Predicting an almost 20pt win vs. UNH. EWU/Towson is a tossup.

Sagarin's Playoffs Round 4 Predictions

Code:

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      Sagarin  Predict    Result Diff 
 24North Dakota State81.30
 26Kansas State80.88  -3.02      3.00  6.02
 NAFerris State  NA      NA      46.00    NA
225Delaware State34.65  50.09      51.00  0.91
 93South Dakota State63.08  14.78      20.00  5.22
 87Northern Iowa63.87  20.87      1.00-19.87
101Missouri State61.97  22.77      15.00 -7.77
 98Southern Illinois62.33  15.53      21.00  5.47
200Indiana State39.63  38.23      46.00  7.77
123Illinois State57.61  27.13      18.00 -9.13
116Youngstown State59.23  18.63      18.00 -0.63
166South Dakota48.24  36.50      42.00  5.50

151Furman52.59  32.15      31.00  1.15
104Coastal Carolina61.29  23.45      34.00 10.55
 66New Hampshire65.53  19.21

160Western Illinois50.56
Total Diff:  5.19
Home 3.44

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Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25

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1  24  North Dakota State
 2  37  Eastern Illinois
 3  66  Towson
 4  74  Villanova
 5  76  SE Louisiana
 6  77  Eastern Washington
 7  79  New Hampshire
 8  85  William & Mary
 9  87  Northern Iowa
10  91  Jacksonville State
11  93  South Dakota State
12  98  Southern Illinois
13  99  Montana
14  101  Missouri State
15  102  Sam Houston State
16  104  Coastal Carolina
17  110  Harvard
18  112  Princeton
19  114  Liberty
20  116  Youngstown State
21  118  Maine
22  119  Cal Poly
23  122  Tennessee State
24  123  Illinois State
25  124  McNeese State

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Sagarin Predictor Top-7 FCS Conferences

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1.  MVFC59.06
2.  Colonial57.39
3.  Ohio Valley 53.22
4.  Southland51.09
5.  Ivy League49.07
6.  Southern48.34
7.  Big Sky47.13

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Sent from somewhere using my Windows phone.

Mine is kicking out similar numbers.

Bison 91.33% of the time at the dome vs UNH.

EWU 53.90% of the time at home vs Towson. Towson would be a slight favorite in Maryland, or on a neutral site, as they are ranked above EWU.

Is UNH the first team since they expanded to 20+ to advance to the semis from round 1?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bisonaudit

Is UNH the first team since they expanded to 20+ to advance to the semis from round 1?

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GSU did it in 2010

No for sure Georgia Southern did in 2010.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Hammerhead

Sagarin also predicted a big win by EIU last week. It will be interesting to see if New Hampshire is really that good or if EIU was that overrated. I'm thinking it's the latter choice.

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Think you mean Towson instead of UNH. We will see if EWU is for real if they can stop West this week. I want to see EWU for three reasons. 1-I think these seniors want to finish off with the team that knocked them out in '10. 2-I really want this team to beat down a Big Sky team at some point this year! 3-I think it would be an easier game for us than Towson would be.

I think you're right thinking EIU was more overrated. Towson is good, but they weren't anything special (sorry hearing it so much from our opponents lately that it's stuck in my head). They played consistent ball and made stops when they needed to.

I hope EWU beat the odds and shows up in Frisco. It will be a beat down when the Bison get a hold of the Eagles. We will show no mercy.