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Bisonaudit let me know this morning my numbers were wrong. Apparently there was an error in the ratings released on Sunday morning. Sagarin reran the numbers which altered most of the values by a couple thousandths. My earlier post is now fixed. There were no changes to speak of, just some tiny alterations here and there.
How can we EVER trust you again??Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
Why did you ever trust me in the first place? I sure wouldn't.Quote:
Originally Posted by EndZoneQB
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
Haha, touche, touche.
To compare and contrast, here's what my simulator module is predicting. Home field is factored in.Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
Mo St 99.44%
S Ill 92.36%
Ind St 90.09%
Ill St 99.06%
YSU 75.48%
USD 99.11%
Was wondering about this last night. Let's say, God-forbid of course, that we do end up losing. Assuming each loss is to the lowest percentage, where do we end up for the year. Remember, this is completely hypothetical as we aren't going to lose, but middle of the week is incredibly boring :)Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
11-0 60.1% - Obviously #1 seed for playoffs
10-1 33.5% - #2 or #3 seed for playoffs
9-2 6.0% - #7 or #8 seed for playoffs
8-3 0.4% - First round game. We would obviously outbid anyone
7-4 0.01% - Still think we get in since we've beat an FBS, SDSU, and UNI.
My new rankings are out. Bison move into the overall top 25.
http://purecfr.com/college-football-...s-2013-week-7/
Sagarin was out early today. Good thing for me since I've got to go to a baptism in a couple hours. NDSU drops some due to a perceived underperformance versus Missouri State. Thanks to their loss, UNI drops to #3 while Eastern Illinois takes over #2. Who'd have thought an OVC team could be ranked this high? Villanova and Towson basically swap spots. SIU & YSU keep moving up the list. Those two games are now virtually tied with UNI as our toughest FCS games. Conference-wise, it's MVFC & CAA then everyone else. Southland drops to the point it may lose the #3 spot to Big Sky, and SoCon just keeps falling. At this rate I might need to add a 7th conference just to keep them in(not really).
Sagarin's Week 8 Predictions:
Sagarin FCS Predictor Top-25Code:Sagarin Predict Result Diff [/U]
45 North Dakota State 75.41
41 Kansas State 77.42 -5.61 3.00 8.61
NA Ferris State NA NA 46.00 NA
225 Delaware State 33.36 45.65 51.00 5.35
113 South Dakota State 59.84 11.97 20.00 8.03
65 Northern Iowa 71.20 7.81 1.00 -6.81
149 Missouri State 54.11 24.90 15.00 -9.90
92 Southern Illinois 64.07 7.74
160 Indiana State 50.95 20.86
171 Illinois State 46.93 32.08
94 Youngstown State 63.91 7.90
167 South Dakota 47.80 31.21
172 Western Illinois 46.71
Total Diff: 5.28
Home 3.60
Sagarin Predictor Top-6 FCS ConferencesCode:1 45 North Dakota State
2 58 Eastern Illinois
3 65 Northern Iowa
4 78 Villanova
5 80 Towson
6 84 Montana
7 88 McNeese State
8 90 Montana State
9 91 Eastern Washington
10 92 Southern Illinois
11 94 Youngstown State
12 99 SE Louisiana
13 102 William & Mary
14 108 Samford
15 109 Maine
16 110 Georgia Southern
17 111 Sam Houston State
18 112 Coastal Carolina
19 113 South Dakota State
20 114 Chattanooga
21 119 Old Dominion
22 121 Stony Brook
23 125 Cal Poly
24 127 Bethune-Cookman
25 128 New Hampshire
Code:1. MVFC 57.44
2. Colonial 56.25
3. Southland 51.95
4. Big Sky 51.31
5. Ohio Valley 50.22
6. Southern 49.78
It's funny how the Whioux join the Big Sky and now their conference is isn't so hot anymore.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammersmith
But they played EWU close!?!Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammerhead