Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by
thebootfitter
As pointed out elsewhere, this is not correct. Massey also shows FBS and FCS together on the same scale. I'm guessing there are other lesser known computer models that also include all of D-I on the same scale.
Also consider that IF Sagarin and Massey are not reliable in FBS vs FCS relative ratings, then why is it that these computer models still accurately predict the winner of games roughly 75% of the time, even in FBS vs FCS match ups?
https://twitter.com/espn_billc/statu...710995456?s=21
Here is a twitter thread from Bill C on how he handles FBS vs FCS it’s far from a perfect science but basically he has NDSU as a top 40 ish FBS team annually. The problem for comparative analysis is lack of sample. A bunch of one off FBSvFCS matchups doesn’t give a reliable sample.
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Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by
QB11SD
https://twitter.com/espn_billc/statu...710995456?s=21
Here is a twitter thread from Bill C on how he handles FBS vs FCS it’s far from a perfect science but basically he has NDSU as a top 40 ish FBS team annually. The problem for comparative analysis is lack of sample. A bunch of one off FBSvFCS matchups doesn’t give a reliable sample.
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Seems pretty reasonable to say ndsu is stop 40ish team annually with a chance to win games up to the top 10ish mark dependant on any given Saturday & scheme/matchups. Also reasonable to say that this upcoming season we may have our best offense ever. D will be solid. Could bump up our possible victories into the fbs 5-6ish range. Plus higher than that, as had been discussed really is another tier of talent.
Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Twincitybizon
Seems pretty reasonable to say ndsu is stop 40ish team annually with a chance to win games up to the top 10ish mark dependant on any given Saturday & scheme/matchups. Also reasonable to say that this upcoming season we may have our best offense ever. D will be solid. Could bump up our possible victories into the fbs 5-6ish range. Plus higher than that, as had been discussed really is another tier of talent.
A top 40ish team doesn’t beat a top 10 very often. The matchups have to work out favorably. Oregon’s defense is going to be a nightmare. This is a top 5 defense in the FBS. It’s deep, athletic, multiple and without any holes. I would feel much worse if we had questions on defense. Iowa and KSU play a style of offense that that plays right into your hands.
Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by
bisonduck
A top 40ish team doesn’t beat a top 10 very often. The matchups have to work out favorably. Oregon’s defense is going to be a nightmare. This is a top 5 defense in the FBS. It’s deep, athletic, multiple and without any holes. I would feel much worse if we had questions on defense. Iowa and KSU play a style of offense that that plays right into your hands.
No shit, but it does happen. Lol
Re: NDSU @ Oregon 9.5.2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Twincitybizon
No shit, but it does happen. Lol
I am reiterating what you said and don’t see favorable matchups. Our weakness is interior OL experience. Your interior DL is inexperienced.
My main point is NDSU doesn’t have a lot of matchups on paper where it’s strength vs weakness.