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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
land grant bison
“Poised to guarantee” meant that as P5 (now P4) decisions continue to impact everyone else, you’re sitting as an FBS independent as the landscape radically shifts. In this scenario, G5 conferences are reacting to P4 decisions. G5 conference realignment perceptions of NDSU are likely a lot different if we are FBS independent compared to FCS. This is what I meant by the “poised to guarantee” that second tier level comment.
Obviously you can’t predict how the whole thing shakes out, but I’d rather be FBS Independent than FCS if P4 breaks away and everyone else is scrambling on what do to next. Doomsday scenarios of this not working out don’t seem so bad to me since it’s not like NDSU football will cease to exist as a program. You can always continue playing at some level…ala back as a member of FCS.
Such an interesting phrase, “poised to guarantee”… I have no problem with what you described as being an option, but calling it “poised” or even “a guarantee” is a stretch.
Anyway, carry on…
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigHorns
Indeed they did after many years. They went to B12 to gain CFP access.
Prior to being Indy BYU was in the MWC.
Believe Liberty was the only school to ever move from FCS to FBS Indy.
That was a unique case, and they spent a shit ton of money to do it. Many many millions just on scheduling.
That school almost literally prints money.
Agree. I don’t think NDSU could or should try to make it work, but your initial post said that Notre Dame was the only school to make it work and I guess I’d point to BYU as evidence to the contrary. Liberty is not doing that badly either, but then again, not an example NDSU can or should follow…
Sigh…
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
NDSUguy
Isn’t all of this a gamble? Say or go nothing is certain. Going D1 was a big gamble. It paid off but it could’ve gone much much worse. Right now we’re waiting for an invite (that we can’t control) and hoping for the best. Dr Chapman and Gene where are you….
Maybe this is just the benefit of hindsight speaking, but going from D2 to D1-AA (FCS) seems a lot less of a gamble than going FBS Indy.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Among other issues with going indy is trying to schedule games during every other teams’ conference schedule.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
heffray
Agree. I don’t think NDSU could or should try to make it work, but your initial post said that Notre Dame was the only school to make it work and I guess I’d point to BYU as evidence to the contrary. Liberty is not doing that badly either, but then again, not an example NDSU can or should follow…
Sigh…
I meant teams adopting FBS Independent as a long term successful model.
At best, its a short term bandaid for some teams.
BYU left ... they didn't view Indy as viable long term, so they found a way out.
Liberty left Indy also, for the same reasons.
UMass and UConn may also leave Indy status if a conference will take them, but they have not been particularly successful there.
Its more like serving time in Purgatory. There's structural reasons these teams are the worst FBS teams now.
UMass has averaged around 9-10k attendance the past couple years. No conference has offered them a lifeline yet.
Notre Dame is VERY unique, and is essentially an ACC team, scheduling wise. They have an ACC contract.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
OMG OMG OMG. I SPY MOVEMENT
Even down to only 2 schools, Oregon State & Washington State "still trying to rebuild the Pac-12, maintain this thing & steal some of the Mountain West schools," source told
@ActionNetworkHQ
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigHorns
I meant teams adopting FBS Independent as a long term successful model.
At best, its a short term bandaid for some teams.
BYU left ... they didn't view Indy as viable long term, so they found a way out.
Liberty left Indy also, for the same reasons.
UMass and UConn may also leave Indy status if a conference will take them, but they have not been particularly successful there.
Its more like serving time in Purgatory. There's structural reasons these teams are the worst FBS teams now.
UMass has averaged around 9-10k attendance the past couple years. No conference has offered them a lifeline yet.
Notre Dame is VERY unique, and is essentially an ACC team, scheduling wise. They have an ACC contract.
Agree with you. Notre Dame has been grandfathered in. I wonder how long they will be allowed to do it and still be relevant…
Queue ByeSon in 3, 2…
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
TAILG8R
Among other issues with going indy is trying to schedule games during every other teams’ conference schedule.
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Plus you need a boat load of money to bring teams in. If not youre going to be on the road a lot.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
56BISON73
Plus you need a boat load of money to bring teams in. If not youre going to be on the road a lot.
There is no "if not" ... NCAA requires hosting 5 FBS games for FBS status. Indy teams like UMass/UConn end up cash strapped, which hurts the whole program.
The 3 reasons a conference matters: guaranteed FBS games, media deals, postseason CFP and Bowl access. Also, over 99% of time, its the ONLY way to move from FCS. The bylaws state FBS conference invite is the only official path to FBS, anything else requires approval of a large committee that is inclined to say no, and most often does say no. I'm only aware of 1 exception in history. We are highly unlikely to be #2.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigHorns
The only team that has really made Indy work well is Notre Dame. The thing is they are essentially an ACC associated school, and are given an ACC schedule each year due to a formal agreement. Their history and status have also given them a great media deal, and believe they are the only independent school that has direct membership in the CFP. In spite of all this, there is still rumors they may be pushed to formally join ACC or B10 at some point.
Comparing anyone to Notre Dame is not a valid analogy. They are a very unique brand in college athletics.
I was fortunate to work a few scrimmages there a few years ago. The person I coordinated with was former QB Ron Powlus (those of from the 90s may remember him from his hype). He invited us to eat at the team training table after the scrimmage, and we had some fun conversations.
As director of operations, one of his jobs was to schedule games. I asked him if his job was made easier by having no problems getting any teams to return him phone call. He smiled and said that was definitely nice. I asked if he would ever schedule NDSU. He said they don't schedule FCS schools (obviously not true now with their Tennessee State game today), but even if they did, they would never schedule NDSU. Why? "We might lose."
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
El_Chapo
OMG OMG OMG. I SPY MOVEMENT
Even down to only 2 schools, Oregon State & Washington State "still trying to rebuild the Pac-12, maintain this thing & steal some of the Mountain West schools," source told
@ActionNetworkHQ
Is Oregon State rebuilding or trying to get to the BXII.
https://twitter.com/jasonscheer/stat...55-page-4.html
Should SDSUred and OrSU get invited to the BXII, WasSU's options become: MWC (backfill for SDSU) or ...
I still don't believe any of the "rebuild" noise.
Between MWC/AAC buy-outs and "how's this better" logic (no TV deal!), who'd join a decimated PAC?
WasSU and OrSU should be talking to Gloria at the MWC (and finally accept who they are).
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
heffray
Agree with you. Notre Dame has been grandfathered in. I wonder how long they will be allowed to do it and still be relevant…
Queue ByeSon in 3, 2…
They'll never not be allowed. How long they choose to be indy is a different story. Currently giving up tens of millions a year.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
ByeSonBusiness
They'll never not be allowed. How long they choose to be indy is a different story. Currently giving up tens of millions a year.
You never disappoint…
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
In other news, it sounds like AAC is gonna shoot for West Point
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
ByeSonBusiness
In other news, it sounds like AAC is gonna shoot for West Point
It's a no brainer but i dont think its a lock. Air Force rejected them a few years ago and they are less stable now. Army isnt in it only for money
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Coastal Carolina, Old Dominion and Sam Houston State all on TV now in FBS. Bar is not as high as we think.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Son of a Bison
Coastal Carolina, Old Dominion and Sam Houston State all on TV now in FBS. Bar is not as high as we think.
Definitely true, don't have to look much further than Sagarin or FCS vs FBS game results sometimes.
Problem is, how good a team is does not always correlate to invites.
SMU mostly kinda sucks in recent times, but just effectively bought their way into ACC.
They are considered to have a desirable media market that will boost the ACC network payout, and agreed to join for no payout. That means a lot of money for the other ACC schools.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigHorns
Definitely true, don't have to look much further than Sagarin or FCS vs FBS game results sometimes.
Problem is, how good a team is does not always correlate to invites.
SMU mostly kinda sucks in recent times, but just effectively bought their way into ACC.
They are considered to have a desirable media market that will boost the ACC network payout, and agreed to join for no payout. That means a lot of money for the other ACC schools.
The Pony Express is back baby
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
The_Sicatoka
Is Oregon State rebuilding or trying to get to the BXII.
https://twitter.com/jasonscheer/stat...55-page-4.html
Should SDSUred and OrSU get invited to the BXII, WasSU's options become: MWC (backfill for SDSU) or ...
I still don't believe any of the "rebuild" noise.
Between MWC/AAC buy-outs and "how's this better" logic (no TV deal!), who'd join a decimated PAC?
WasSU and OrSU should be talking to Gloria at the MWC (and finally accept who they are).
Oh the reporter who talked shit about the Bison
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Son of a Bison
Coastal Carolina, Old Dominion and Sam Houston State all on TV now in FBS. Bar is not as high as we think.
this. it's so sad that NDSU is allowing all these puds to pass us by nationally
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
I don't mind this.
"With all the speculation regarding the “PAC-2” and potentially absorbing OSU and WSU, here’s my take on the best scenario for the MW.
Additions:
PAC-12: OSU, WSU
MVFC (FCS): NDSU, SDSU, MSU
*do your research on these three schools before you question it.
This would bring the conference up to 16 total teams and I feel adding these 5 would strengthen the conference considerably. The 3 FCS schools would very quickly be towards the top of the conference, NDSU being a solid national brand as well."
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
El_Chapo
I don't mind this.
"With all the speculation regarding the “PAC-2” and potentially absorbing OSU and WSU, here’s my take on the best scenario for the MW.
Additions:
PAC-12: OSU, WSU
MVFC (FCS): NDSU, SDSU, MSU
*do your research on these three schools before you question it.
This would bring the conference up to 16 total teams and I feel adding these 5 would strengthen the conference considerably. The 3 FCS schools would very quickly be towards the top of the conference, NDSU being a solid national brand as well."
That would make 17 football schools. 16 for olympic sports. None of it will happen unless CBS/FOX kick in more money to cover any expansion. They said no before when the MW was looking for Texas adds. No guarantee they will chip in this time.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
that was a Boise St fan post
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
El_Chapo
that was a Boise St fan post
Seems legit....:facepalm:
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
El_Chapo
that was a Boise St fan post
When did you become a boise fan
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
MWC
That would make 17 football schools. 16 for olympic sports. None of it will happen unless CBS/FOX kick in more money to cover any expansion. They said no before when the MW was looking for Texas adds. No guarantee they will chip in this time.
That's pretty much always the case with any expansion scenario.
If teams leave, and backfill is necessary, conferences sometimes take the "best available" irrespective of payout.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
El_Chapo
this. it's so sad that NDSU is allowing all these puds to pass us by nationally
"Allowing" ... because ML could just raise his hand and say "stop! Take us instead" :rolleyes:
Coastal, ODU, SHSU all have one thing we didn't: Location.
All 3 were added to G5 conferences that have lower budgets and care about geography.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
If OSU and WSU join the MVC, what happens to the NCAA basketball credits the PAC has? If they bring in some teams, do they get to keep/split those credits?
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
ringthebells
If OSU and WSU join the MVC, what happens to the NCAA basketball credits the PAC has? If they bring in some teams, do they get to keep/split those credits?
They only keep the PAC credits if PAC remains the legal entity they merge under. If MWC teams technically join PAC, then the credits are kept. If PAC shuts down, I *think* the credits get dispersed to the individual schools that earned them.
It is possible, maybe likely that if the PAC-2 join MWC, it will be a reverse merger. The MWC could become the PAC legally. In addition to the basketball credits, they would get a bigger chunk of CFP money, and potentially other assets.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BigHorns
They only keep the PAC credits if PAC remains the legal entity they merge under. If MWC teams technically join PAC, then the credits are kept. If PAC shuts down, I *think* the credits get dispersed to the individual schools that earned them.
It is possible, maybe likely that if the PAC-2 join MWC, it will be a reverse merger. The MWC could become the PAC legally. In addition to the basketball credits, they would get a bigger chunk of CFP money, and potentially other assets.
This is the "Lawyers Full Employment" phase and that may last quite awhile..There is a lot of stuff to be unwound. Nothing particularly easy to the possible merger.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
I poached this off the csnbbs board from an attendance smack thread. I'm not sure it means anything but is interesting in regards to what kind of capacity we need long term for an FBS move. 25,000 would put us pretty much in the middle of the pack. Most of these games outside of Wyoming hosting Texas Tech were home openers against lesser quality opponents.
SBC home attendance week 1
App - 36,075
USM - 30,335
Troy - 28,179
Marshall - 25,101
JMU - 23,756
ULM - 18,914
ULL - 18,186 (*scanner problems, should be higher)
GaSo - 17,803
GaSt - 15,546
AAC
Tulane - 26,973
Memphis - 26,632
UAB - 25,363
SMU - 21,490
UNT - 21,350
FAU - 20,893
Charlotte - 15,622 (100% cap)
Tulsa- 17,529
Temple - 12,456
CUSA
UTEP - 30,738
J’ville St - 21,276
Liberty - 18,811
NM St - 17,943
FIU - 16,878
WKU - 15,438
MWC
Colorado State - 31,497
Air Force - 30,142
Wyoming - 26,450
SDSU - 22,345
UNLV - 20,347
FCS
Montana - 25,430 (sellout)
Montana State - 21,967 (sellout)
SDSU - 16,258
UN_ - 8503
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
AKBison
I poached this off the csnbbs board from an attendance smack thread. I'm not sure it means anything but is interesting in regards to what kind of capacity we need long term for an FBS move. 25,000 would put us pretty much in middle of the pack.
SBC home attendance week 1
App - 36,075
USM - 30,335
Troy - 28,179
Marshall - 25,101
JMU - 23,756
ULM - 18,914
ULL - 18,186 (*scanner problems, should be higher)
GaSo - 17,803
GaSt - 15,546
AAC
Tulane - 26,973
Memphis - 26,632
UAB - 25,363
SMU - 21,490
UNT - 21,350
FAU - 20,893
Charlotte - 15,622 (100% cap)
Tulsa- 17,529
Temple - 12,456
CUSA
UTEP - 30,738
J’ville St - 21,276
Liberty - 18,811
NM St - 17,943
FIU - 16,878
WKU - 15,438
I think it's more about revenue than seats. If the dome expansion happens in December, we will have high donor club seats up top and premium party deck seats in the SE corner.
More food and beverage revenue with the expanded concourse
Also more TM revenue by utilizing the indoor space the Comvention Center will provide
Not only that, a better fan experience will bump attendance
Without the expansion, all we can do is raise prices on what we got
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
HerdBot
I think it's more about revenue than seats. If the dome expansion happens in December, we will have high donor club seats up top and premium party deck seats in the SE corner.
More food and beverage revenue with the expanded concourse
Also more TM revenue by utilizing the indoor space the Comvention Center will provide
Not only that, a better fan experience will bump attendance
Without the expansion, all we can do is raise prices on what we got
Agree, our expansion plans are fine.
IF we move to FBS, then in 5 or 10 years maybe we'll have to consider something else.
What is ironic is out of all those conferences AAC is the only one that has made a large capacity stadium a condition of entry. And now with the loss of UCF, Houston and Cincinnati they have smaller crowds than some of the other G5.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
This team just got into the ACC, so I don't think stadium capacity is an issue.
https://eastcarolina.sportswar.com/p...18582083_0.jpg
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
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Originally Posted by
BigHorns
That's more than the dome
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
ByeSonBusiness
That's more than the dome
Capacity is 32k, but they "officially" had 21k last week.
Thing is attendance is over reported often due to the 15k rule.
If you look at recent game photos, it seems likely they have 15k or less actually at the games.
That stadium is not 2/3 filled.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
SMU clearly will have to increase their stadium; fact of the matter is they will start drawing better in the ACC.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
THEsocalledfan
SMU clearly will have to increase their stadium; fact of the matter is they will start drawing better in the ACC.
Wake Forest's stadium is that size. They don't need to expand, though they may choose to.
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
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Re: A new and better FBS thread
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GCWaters
Interesting that they believe there will only be 5 conference AQ bids for 2024.
Don't believe that's official yet, but changes could be brewing.
Sankey/SEC was pushing the idea earlier of no AQs, which would make it rare for a G5 to get in.
If they go to 5 AQs and WSU/OSU join MWC under PAC banner, the rest of G5 could be screwed.
P4 champs will always get bids.
My guess is revamped MWC would get it 50-70% of time, maybe AAC 20-30% and SBC 10% of time.
It would be the norm to see MWC or AAC in, and MWC might even get dang near a lock on it.