Agree. I wonder if the spread has every been two touchdowns between #1 and #2.
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Using Sagarin's Predictor rankings, NDSU (74.59) is currently ahead of the MAC-leading Ohio Bobcats (69.07). Not too shabby. It'll be fun to check again when the teams are well connected.
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm
this says NDSU at 50..........where are you all seeing 46?? I know I know I should just claim stuff and not use a link, but it aint my style
I can't imagine where'd we be ranked if our SOS was half of what it is now.
I was wondering how long it would take for this question to come up this year. Took longer than I expected.
Look at the ratings on the USA Today link. You'll see this for NDSU:
Notice the columns labeled RATING, ELO_CHESS and PREDICTOR. Sagarin(the guy) likes the PREDICTOR rating. It includes margin of victory and is the best predictor of future games(hence the name). The BCS wanted to use Sagarin's ratings, but didn't like that margin of victory was included. In order for Sagarin's numbers to be used for the BCS calculation, he had to strip margin out of the computation. That resulted in the ELO_CHESS version which only looks at wins and losses. For some reason, either Sagarin or USA Today decided to create a third computation which sort of splits the difference. That became the RATING number.Code:RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
50 North Dakota State AA = 74.31 4 0 46.11( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.79 59 | 74.59 46
The main list is arranged using the RATING computation. Personally, I prefer the PREDICTOR column because Sagarin himself says it's the most accurate. It takes a little more work to redo the top-10 FCS teams and top-4 FCS conferences as PREDICTOR rankings, but I think it's worth the time. Either I've convinced enough other posters to switch to my side or they're just sick and tired of this explanation. Either way, most of BV seems to use the PREDICTOR column now. Of course NDSU seems to always rank a little higher in the PREDICTOR ranking, so that might also be the reason. ;)