Yes. Unlike the rest of the internet, this thread is click-optional.Quote:
Originally Posted by Thundering Herd
Also it really stinks of sour grapes when all of a sudden this thread isn't ok because it is no longer a wet dream for us.
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Yes. Unlike the rest of the internet, this thread is click-optional.Quote:
Originally Posted by Thundering Herd
Also it really stinks of sour grapes when all of a sudden this thread isn't ok because it is no longer a wet dream for us.
Despite the fact that the silly computer still thinks we're the best team in FCS.Quote:
Originally Posted by mnriverbison
Right, but the wet dream part was seeing us ranked higher by sagarin than legit FBS programs. That was fun, but the value of sagarin for many of us stat enthusiasts doesn't start and end there. For non stat enthusiasts, seeing us ranked like that was cool but now that we aren't that stuff is just for the nerds I guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by bisonaudit
Projected regular season record based on Sagarin's ratings plus 2.61 pts for a bye-week:
10-1.. 9.9% -29.4% from last week
9-2.. 27.8% + 5.0%
8-3.. 32.4% +25.1%
7-4.. 20.4% +19.0%
6-5.... 7.6% + 7.4%
5-6.... 1.7% + 1.7%
4-7.... 0.2% + 0.2%
3-8.... 0.02%
2-9.... 0.001%
1-10.. 0.00001%
0-11.. 0.0000001%
Opp..... Win%.. Line
v.Weber 98.4% 29.0 -1.1% -6.5 change from last week
v.UND... 98.3% 29.0 -1.2% -6.5
@SDSU. 68.1% 6.5 -14.7% -7.0
v.UNI.... 62.5% 4.5 -16.1% -6.0
v.USD... 95.5% 23.0 -3.0% -6.5
@Ind St. 72.7% 8.0 -13.2% -6.5
@S Ill.... 70.5% 7.5 -13.9% -6.0
v.W Ill... 90.0% 17.5 -6.0% -6.5
@YSU.... 62.5% 4.5 -16.1% -6.0
v.Mo St.. 87.6% 15.5 -7.2% -6.5
Games by projected order of difficulty:
Opp..... Win%.. Line
@YSU.... 62.5% 4.5
v.UNI.... 62.5% 4.5
@SDSU. 68.1% 6.5
@S Ill.... 70.5% 7.5
@Ind St. 72.7% 8.0
v.Mo St.. 87.6% 15.5
v.W Ill... 90.0% 17.5
v.USD... 95.5% 23.0
v.UND... 98.3% 29.0
v.Weber 98.4% 29.0
Projected regular season record based on Sagarin's ratings plus 2.61 pts for a bye-week:
10-1. 11.9% +1.9% from last week
9-2.. 30.2% +2.5%
8-3.. 32.0% -0.4%
7-4.. 18.3% -2.1%
6-5.... 6.2% -1.4%
5-6.... 1.2% -0.4%
4-7.... 0.1% -0.1%
3-8.... 0.01%
2-9.... 0.0003%
1-10.. 0.00001%
0-11.. 0.00000004%
Opp..... Win%.. Line
v.Weber 98.3% 29.0.. -0.1%.. 0.0 change from last week
v.UND... 95.3% 22.5.. -3.0%. -6.5
@SDSU. 66.9%.. 6.0.. -1.2%. -0.5
v.UNI.... 78.0% 10.5 +15.5% +6.0
v.USD... 96.6% 25.0. +1.1% +2.0
@Ind St. 77.3% 10.0. +4.6% +2.0
@S Ill.... 68.6%. 6.5. -1.9%.. -1.0
v.W Ill... 80.5% 11.5. -9.5%. -6.0
@YSU.... 61.1%. 4.0. -1.4%.. -0.5
v.Mo St.. 96.4% 24.5 +8.8% +9.0
Games by projected order of difficulty:
Opp..... Win%.. Line
--. @YSU.... 61.1%.. 4.0
+1 @SDSU. 66.9%.. 6.0
+1 @S Ill.... 68.6%. 6.5
+1 @Ind St. 77.3% 10.0
-3. v.UNI.... 78.0% 10.5
+1 v.W Ill... 80.5% 11.5
+2 v.UND... 95.3% 22.5
-2. v.Mo St.. 96.4% 24.5
-1. v.USD... 96.6% 25.0
--. v. Weber 98.3% 29.0
No way, this thread is epic! :pQuote:
Originally Posted by Buffalo.Rider
change your setting for viewing, I am only on page 41.Quote:
Originally Posted by Buffalo.Rider
I did split the thread up and will do the same to the Weber State one. However, I updated the first post in this new thread so that there's a link to the old "Sagarin Says" thread.
Big Sky not so fluffy anymore.
Sagarin's 2015 Week 1 Predictions
Sagarin FCS Top-25Code:
Rank Team Sagarin Predict Result Diff
69 North Dakota State 69.51
117 Montana 58.53 +8.33 -3.00 -11.33
172 Weber State 45.94 +26.22
158 North Dakota 49.45 +22.71
94 South Dakota State 63.57 +3.29
101 Northern Iowa 61.75 +10.41
168 South Dakota 47.29 +24.87
130 Indiana State 56.75 +10.11
110 Southern Illinois 60.32 +6.54
108 Western Illinois 60.55 +11.61
99 Youngstown State 63.05 +3.81
166 Missouri State 47.64 +24.52
88 Illinois State 64.56
Total Diff: -11.33
Home Field 2.65
Sagarin Conference RankingCode:
Rank SagRank RATING Team
1 69 69.51 North Dakota State
2 85 64.78 Eastern Washington
3 88 64.56 Illinois State
4 94 63.57 South Dakota State
5 95 63.42 Jacksonville State
6 96 63.35 Sam Houston State
7 99 63.05 Youngstown State
8 101 61.75 Northern Iowa
9 104 60.83 Chattanooga
10 106 60.80 Samford
11 108 60.55 Western Illinois
12 110 60.32 Southern Illinois
13 111 59.86 Villanova
14 115 59.03 Coastal Carolina
15 117 58.53 Montana
16 118 58.25 James Madison
17 121 57.82 SE Louisiana
18 123 57.75 William & Mary
19 129 56.79 Cal Poly-SLO
20 130 56.75 Indiana State
21 134 55.40 Montana State
22 137 54.10 Eastern Kentucky
23 138 53.55 Wofford
24 140 53.40 Harvard
25 144 52.85 Portland State
Code:
Rank Conference CntMean NDSU
1 SEC 82.19 14
2 BIG 12 80.15 10
3 ACC 76.31 14
4 BIG TEN 75.69 13
5 PAC-12 75.34 11
6 I-A INDEPENDENTS 74.49 3
7 AMERICAN ATHLETIC 65.75 5
8 MWC 65.35 2
9 CONFERENCE USA 60.53 4
10 MISSOURI VALLEY 60.24 1
11 MAC 58.47 2
12 SUN BELT 54.90 1
13 BIG SKY 51.40 1
14 SOUTHERN 48.84 1
15 COLONIAL 48.54 1
16 OHIO VALLEY 45.45 1
17 SOUTHLAND 43.48 1
18 BIG SOUTH 41.25 1
19 IVY LEAGUE 38.84 1
20 PATRIOT 37.20 1
21 NORTHEAST 36.68 1
22 MID-EASTERN 33.42 1
23 SWAC 29.08 1
24 PIONEER 23.63 1
I love this thread, not much BS...data and objective stuff about upcoming stuff.