Then you should have agreed with him, not disagree.
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Definition of a dark horse:
b :an entrant in a contest that is judged unlikely to succeed
Have to love bisonville we argue even when we agree. :hide:
Sent from Win8 phone on a bullet train from Hillsboro.
Holy crap, don't you guys have better things to do? Dark horse = team that isn't expected to win but just might. Out of SDSU, UNI, and Montana, UM is the one I'm most worried about beating us. Mostly because UNI always finds a way to piss away the playoffs.
Never seen a true 0.00 pickem. ISUr's home field advantage is exactly the same as our rating advantage(to two decimal places).
The 16pt advantage we have over Montana this week is something of a mirage. Sag can't take into effect the return of Mont's QB. Their rating would be much higher if you only consider the games he played in.
Sagarin's 2015 Playoff Round 2 Predictions
Sagarin FCS Top-25Code:
Rank Team Sagarin Predict Result Diff
59 North Dakota State 72.17
110 Montana 58.72 +10.77 -3.00 -13.77
162 Weber State 47.65 +27.20 +27.00 -0.20
142 North Dakota 50.29 +24.56 +25.00 +0.44
89 South Dakota State 64.11 +5.38 +21.00 +15.62
81 Northern Iowa 66.42 +8.43 +3.00 -5.43
144 South Dakota 50.04 +24.81 -3.00 -27.81
134 Indiana State 51.59 +17.90 +14.00 -3.90
120 Southern Illinois 55.22 +14.27 +6.00 -8.27
115 Western Illinois 57.29 +17.56 +52.00 +34.44
112 Youngstown State 58.58 +10.91 +3.00 -7.91
227 Missouri State 30.30 +44.55 +55.00 +10.45
110 Montana 58.72 +16.13
105 Portland State 59.94 +14.91
81 Northern Iowa 66.42 +8.43
68 Illinois State 69.49 +0.00
82 Jacksonville State 66.21 +5.96
Total Diff: -6.34
Home Field 2.68
Sagarin Conference RankingCode:
Rank SagRank RATING Team
1 59 72.17 North Dakota State
2 68 69.49 Illinois State
3 81 66.42 Northern Iowa
4 82 66.21 Jacksonville State
5 89 64.11 South Dakota State
6 95 62.07 Chattanooga
7 98 61.27 Sam Houston State
8 101 60.60 Southern Utah
9 102 60.31 James Madison
10 104 60.11 McNeese State
11 105 59.94 Portland State
12 107 59.88 Harvard
13 110 58.72 Montana
14 111 58.59 William & Mary
15 112 58.58 Youngstown State
16 113 58.36 The Citadel
17 114 57.75 Dartmouth
18 115 57.29 Western Illinois
19 117 56.56 Coastal Carolina
20 118 56.05 Richmond
21 120 55.22 Southern Illinois
22 121 54.71 Charleston Southern
23 126 52.88 Villanova
24 127 52.84 Samford
25 130 52.33 Western Carolina
Code:
Rank Conference CntMean NDSU
1 BIG 12 79.23 8
2 SEC 77.40 11
3 PAC-12 75.72 11
4 ACC 75.54 11
5 BIG TEN 75.31 9
6 I-A INDEPENDENTS 73.24 3
7 AMERICAN ATHLETIC 67.87 6
8 MWC 61.06 3
9 MAC 59.91 3
10 MISSOURI VALLEY 58.41 1
11 CONFERENCE USA 55.20 2
12 SUN BELT 54.46 2
13 BIG SKY 48.61 1
14 SOUTHERN 46.96 1
15 COLONIAL 45.86 1
16 OHIO VALLEY 44.69 1
17 IVY LEAGUE 44.40 1
18 BIG SOUTH 42.10 1
19 SOUTHLAND 41.01 1
20 PATRIOT 35.69 1
21 NORTHEAST 34.44 1
22 MID-EASTERN 32.43 1
23 SWAC 26.83 1
24 PIONEER 24.97 1
And Sag didn't do all that well in the first round. Only 5-3. Humans who knew what they were doing(not Fargo media) were picking 6 or 7 correct.
Team....................... Rd2..... Qtr... Semi.. Final
Jacksonville State.... 75.8% 62.2% 45.8% 18.2%
Chattanooga........... 24.2% 15.9%.. 7.5%.. 2.2%
Charleston Southern 54.8% 11.0%.. 3.2%.. 0.5%
The Citadel............. 45.2% 10.9%.. 4.0%. 0.8%
James Madison........ 94.2% 44.7% 17.7%. 4.4%
Colgate.................... 5.8%.. 0.5%. 0.0%.. 0.0%
McNeese State........ 62.0% 36.8% 14.4%.. 3.5%
Sam Houston State.. 38.0% 18.1%.. 7.3%. 2.0%
North Dakota State.. 91.6% 72.8% 42.8% 32.0%
Montana................... 8.4%.. 2.5%.. 0.6%. 0.2%
Portland State.......... 46.5%.. 8.1%. 2.3%. 1.0%
Northern Iowa.......... 53.5% 16.5%.. 6.9%. 4.1%
Richmond................ 58.1%.. 9.2%. 1.3%.. 0.4%
William & Mary......... 41.9%.. 8.5%. 1.6%.. 0.6%
Illinois State............ 90.2% 78.1% 43.8% 29.9%
Western Illinois.......... 9.8%. 4.2%.. 0.6%.. 0.2%
Poor poor Colgate..
Team....................... Qtr... Semi.. Final
Jacksonville State.... 83.2% 60.7% 23.1%
Charleston Southern 16.8%.. 7.6%.. 1.1%
Colgate.................... 9.6%.. 0.7%.. 0.0%
Sam Houston State.. 90.4% 31.1%.. 8.1%
North Dakota State.. 73.3% 42.0% 31.0%
Northern Iowa......... 26.7% 10.6%.. 6.3%
Richmond............... 14.7%.. 2.3%.. 0.8%
Illinois State............ 85.3% 45.0% 29.6%