The Weber St. projection was 28 1/2 and the final margin was only 17.Quote:
Originally Posted by Herd
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The Weber St. projection was 28 1/2 and the final margin was only 17.Quote:
Originally Posted by Herd
True about Weber, but our sagarin did not drop after that game. The Montana game was the first drop in awhile. Maybe due to it being a road game at Weber, that had less impact. Not sure.Quote:
Originally Posted by semobison
I think the drop this week had less to do with not covering the prediction as it did a combination of other teams moving past us plus replacing last year's data with this year's. (data becoming better connected) I think we've been riding last year's wave for these first few weeks. Last year's KState win plus the overall success of FCS vs. FBS last year propelled us far higher than usual for the top FCS team. The failure of FCS vs. FBS this year I think is hurting our subdivision as a whole. But this is all guesswork as we don't know exactly how Sagarin works.Quote:
Originally Posted by Herd
So... I'm guessing that the term of art to express the collective form of "cupcake" should then be "tubcake". If one were to use this word in a sentence, he would say, "The Big Sky Conference is a tubcake."Quote:
Originally Posted by RedRiver
Bison move up to 42 this week from 43 last week....although 19 in ELO.
Its Hammer time! (I actually look forward to Hammer and Audit posting each Sunday!)
Thanks for the reminder. Completely forgot about it this morning(darn bye week). Be back in 15.Quote:
Originally Posted by THEsocalledfan
OVC the big loser, Southland the big winner. They swap spots in the conference rankings. Composition of the top-25 virtually unchanged(EIU out, UCA in). Top-10 virtually unchanged as well. In FBS comparisons, NDSU is back on top of all G5 conferences. The MVFC also took back the #3 ranking among non-P5 conferences. 3 of the top-5 FCS schools come from the MVFC, 7 of the top-16, 9 in the top-29, and all are in the top-48. Data must be well-connected or very close to it; very little movement. UNI game getting closer(even with home field advantage dropping half a point).
Sagarin's Week 6 Predictions
Sagarin FCS Top-25Code:Sagarin Predict Result Diff
42 North Dakota State 75.93
67 Iowa State 70.19 +2.27 +20.00 +17.73
200 Weber State 44.19 +28.27 +17.00 -11.27
236 Incarnate Word 33.71 +45.69 +58.00 +12.31
104 Montana 61.82 +17.58 +12.00 -5.58
171 Western Illinois 50.12 +22.34
106 Southern Illinois 61.77 +17.63
142 Indiana State 55.12 +24.28
145 South Dakota 54.90 +17.56
69 South Dakota State 69.68 +9.72
80 Northern Iowa 67.23 +5.23
102 Missouri State 62.09 +10.37
111 Youngstown State 60.80 +18.60
110 Illinois State 60.98
Total Diff: +13.19
Home Field 3.47
Sagarin Top-5 FCS ConferencesCode:1 42 North Dakota State
2 69 South Dakota State
3 74 Villanova
4 77 Eastern Washington
5 80 Northern Iowa
6 85 Jacksonville State
7 96 Coastal Carolina
8 98 New Hampshire
9 99 McNeese State
10 102 Missouri State
11 103 Chattanooga
12 104 Montana
13 105 SE Louisiana
14 106 Southern Illinois
15 110 Illinois State
16 111 Youngstown State
17 114 Sam Houston State
18 122 Richmond
19 123 Eastern Kentucky
20 124 Montana State
21 129 William & Mary
22 131 Harvard
23 138 Central Arkansas
24 139 Cal Poly
25 141 Princeton
Code:1. MVFC 61.59
2. Colonial 52.00
3. Southland 51.16
4. Big Sky 51.08
5. Ohio Valley 50.64
FBS Comparisons
Non-P5 Top 10 ConferencesCode:#1 in the MVFC, AAC, C-USA, MAC, MWC, Sun Belt, and all the FCS
#6 in the ACC
#7 in the Big Ten
#8 in the Big 12
#10 in the PAC-12
#13 in the SEC
Code:1. AAC 66.05
2. MWC 64.36
3. MVFC 61.59
4. C-USA 61.45
5. MAC 58.70
6. SBC 55.93
7. CAA 52.00
8. SLC 51.16
9. BSC 51.08
10. OVC 50.64
MVFC looks tough with 3 of the top 5 and 4 of the top 10 rankings among FCS schools.
Um....goliath lost dude.Quote:
Originally Posted by Strongman