There was a chance.
Got time on my hands waiting for the weather delay in Wyoming. Here is the FCS top-25 and the top 6 conferences. Sagarin still loves the MVFC.
Sagarin FCS Top-25
Sagarin FCS Top-6 ConferencesCode:1 46 North Dakota State
2 76 South Dakota State
3 83 Eastern Washington
4 84 New Hampshire
5 86 Northern Iowa
6 96 Jacksonville State
7 97 Villanova
8 98 Youngstown State
9 100 Chattanooga
10 103 Montana
11 106 SE Louisiana
12 109 Southern Illinois
13 115 Richmond
14 118 Eastern Illinois
15 122 Montana State
16 124 William & Mary
17 125 Sam Houston State
18 126 McNeese State
19 127 Illinois State
20 129 Cal Poly
21 131 Towson
22 134 Coastal Carolina
23 135 Tennessee State
24 136 Missouri State
25 137 Princeton
Code:1. Missouri Valley*
2. Colonial
3. Big Sky
4. Ohio Valley
5. Southland
6. Southern
*ahead of C-USA & Sunbelt; barely behind MAC