Sagarin Says:

[bisoneer]

He has Sam Houston St. @ 51 then NDSU is the next AA team at 82 with SE Louisiana @ 84. Will be interesting to see what it looks like tomorrow morning. He also has JMU at only 118 with a bunch of AA schools ahead of them.

[Hammerhead]

Every one of NDSU's opponents this season is in the Sagarin top 25 for the FCS as of this morning.

51 Sam Houston State AA 73.08
82 North Dakota State AA 66.77
84 SE Louisiana AA 66.34
93 Nicholls State AA 65.24
94 South Dakota State AA 64.72
99 McNeese State AA 62.73
108 Incarnate Word AA 59.89
113 Montana AA 58.64
115 North Dakota AA 57.79
116 Northern Iowa AA 57.62
118 James Madison AA 56.55
122 Princeton AA 56.03
126 Northwestern State AA 55.34
127 Montana State AA 55.09
131 Dartmouth AA 53.17
132 Illinois State AA 52.27
134 Tarleton State AA 52.22
135 Central Arkansas AA 52.20
136 Towson AA 52.18
138 Jacksonville State AA 51.95
140 Southern Illinois AA 51.67
141 Monmouth-NJ AA 51.46
142 Sacramento State AA 50.97
146 Kennesaw State AA 49.69
147 Missouri State AA 49.22

[Bison 4 Life]

Go home Sagarin, you're drunk.

[NDSU92]

Go home Sagarin, you're drunk.

I wonder what the issue is? Earlier this year the Big Sky had four teams in the top 5 until it was later revised.

[yellowstreak]

without many cross conference games, the algorithm is going to struggle making an accurate model

[IndyBison]

without many cross conference games, the algorithm is going to struggle making an accurate model

This is likely true. Sagarin lives in Indiana so he applies his model to our high school football and basketball as well. There are a couple football conferences with 10 teams so all 9 of their games are conference games. They always fall somewhere odd in the model. Every other conference though plays some non-conference so it's not as crazy as this. I don't think you can do much with Sagarin this year.

[noryan34]

Definitely hard to take much stock in these ratings when the T20 contains four teams that haven't played a gamed in over 17 months.

[Hammersmith]

without many cross conference games, the algorithm is going to struggle making an accurate model

Yep. Garbage in, garbage out. All the computer models are going to be worthless this year. Not nearly enough data to link everything together.

[Bisonator98]

Wow the Southland is the SEC of this spring season. :rofl: