clenz
10-06-2009, 02:09 PM
NDSU has a great ground game, probably the only thing that has kept them "afloat" this season. So I did some looking at the stats to see what this saturday could bring. The first column is what NDSU does offensivley, and as expected some really good stats. However, the second column is UNI's ground D.
RUSHING YARDAGE 955 328
Yards gained rushing 1033 516
Yards lost rushing 78 188
Rushing Attempts 157 157
Average Per Rush 6.1 2.1
Average Per Game 238.8 65.6
TDs Rushing 11 2
On the other hand UNI's run O vs. NDSU's run D
RUSHING YARDAGE 1133 659
Yards gained rushing 1179 743
Yards lost rushing 46 84
Rushing Attempts 206 156
Average Per Rush 5.5 4.2
Average Per Game 226.6 164.8
TDs Rushing 12 9
I would love to see a close game, but looking at the comparisons something is going to have to give. UNI's run game is very good and NDSU's run D looks...well...average at best. NDSU has a great run game but UNI's run D is top 5 in the FCS. Sort of an unstopable object meets imovable object situation, which gives first?
Advantage: UNI
When it comes to the passing game the stats look something like this. This first set is NDSU offense vs. UNI defense and the second is UNI offense vs. NDSU defense.
PASSING YARDAGE 707 727
Comp-Att-Int 51-98-4 80-137-4
Average Per Pass 7.2 5.3
Average Per Catch 13.9 9.1
Average Per Game 176.8 145.4
TDs Passing 6 3
PASSING YARDAGE 1282 1005
Comp-Att-Int 84-125-2 61-105-2
Average Per Pass 10.3 9.6
Average Per Catch 15.3 16.5
Average Per Game 256.4 251.2
TDs Passing 12 7
The run game looked to be as close to a push as NDSU was going to get, but the passing breakdown goes very strongly in UNI's favor.
Advantage UNI
Those, of course, bring up the offensive totals for each school.
TOTAL OFFENSE 1662 1055
Total Plays 255 294
Average Per Play 6.5 3.6
Average Per Game 415.5 211.0
TOTAL OFFENSE 2415 1664
Total Plays 331 261
Average Per Play 7.3 6.4
Average Per Game 483.0 416.0
UNI is giving up half of what NDSU is averaging, and NDSU is giving up nearly what UNI is averaging.
Advantage UNI
The other stat that stood out to me was sacks. NDSU doesn't get them and UNI doesn't give them up. However, UNI has 16 sacks for a gross loss of 120, and NDSU has given up 11 for a loss of 61.
Statistically this game isn't looking close, however, I'm not buying it.
Thoughts?
RUSHING YARDAGE 955 328
Yards gained rushing 1033 516
Yards lost rushing 78 188
Rushing Attempts 157 157
Average Per Rush 6.1 2.1
Average Per Game 238.8 65.6
TDs Rushing 11 2
On the other hand UNI's run O vs. NDSU's run D
RUSHING YARDAGE 1133 659
Yards gained rushing 1179 743
Yards lost rushing 46 84
Rushing Attempts 206 156
Average Per Rush 5.5 4.2
Average Per Game 226.6 164.8
TDs Rushing 12 9
I would love to see a close game, but looking at the comparisons something is going to have to give. UNI's run game is very good and NDSU's run D looks...well...average at best. NDSU has a great run game but UNI's run D is top 5 in the FCS. Sort of an unstopable object meets imovable object situation, which gives first?
Advantage: UNI
When it comes to the passing game the stats look something like this. This first set is NDSU offense vs. UNI defense and the second is UNI offense vs. NDSU defense.
PASSING YARDAGE 707 727
Comp-Att-Int 51-98-4 80-137-4
Average Per Pass 7.2 5.3
Average Per Catch 13.9 9.1
Average Per Game 176.8 145.4
TDs Passing 6 3
PASSING YARDAGE 1282 1005
Comp-Att-Int 84-125-2 61-105-2
Average Per Pass 10.3 9.6
Average Per Catch 15.3 16.5
Average Per Game 256.4 251.2
TDs Passing 12 7
The run game looked to be as close to a push as NDSU was going to get, but the passing breakdown goes very strongly in UNI's favor.
Advantage UNI
Those, of course, bring up the offensive totals for each school.
TOTAL OFFENSE 1662 1055
Total Plays 255 294
Average Per Play 6.5 3.6
Average Per Game 415.5 211.0
TOTAL OFFENSE 2415 1664
Total Plays 331 261
Average Per Play 7.3 6.4
Average Per Game 483.0 416.0
UNI is giving up half of what NDSU is averaging, and NDSU is giving up nearly what UNI is averaging.
Advantage UNI
The other stat that stood out to me was sacks. NDSU doesn't get them and UNI doesn't give them up. However, UNI has 16 sacks for a gross loss of 120, and NDSU has given up 11 for a loss of 61.
Statistically this game isn't looking close, however, I'm not buying it.
Thoughts?